Simulate the decisions that move the world — before they happen.

Delphic models how geopolitical actors behave under pressure: quantifying risks, mapping cascading impacts, and identifying mitigation pathways before exposure becomes loss.

US Tariff War
/
Russia–Ukraine War
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US–China Decoupling
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Critical Minerals Shortage
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Taiwan Strait Incursions
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China Hard Landing
/
NATO Fracture
/
European Political Fragility
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Iran–Israel Tensions
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Arctic & Greenland Sovereignty
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Sahel Vacuum
/
Global De-Dollarisation
/
US Tariff War
/
Russia–Ukraine War
/
US–China Decoupling
/
Critical Minerals Shortage
/
Taiwan Strait Incursions
/
China Hard Landing
/
NATO Fracture
/
European Political Fragility
/
Iran–Israel Tensions
/
Arctic & Greenland Sovereignty
/
Sahel Vacuum
/
Global De-Dollarisation
/
Built by Traders, Developers & Geostrategists from
Cambridge King's College London Bloomberg HSBC
What Delphic Does— 01

Geopolitical risks have never been computable at scale — until now.

In a world of escalating tensions, 'wait and see' is a failing strategy. Delphic turns geopolitical chaos into quantifiable data, giving you the precision to factor global risk into every decision.

Simulated Decision-Making

Delphic models how governments respond under pressure, producing decisions grounded in strategic incentives and constraints.

Quantifiable Outcomes

Instead of one prediction, Delphic generates multiple plausible actions, each probability-weighted and highlighting cascading risks.

Actionable Foresight

Each outcome is translated into quantified market and operational impact so you can hedge and reposition before the world realigns.

How It Works— 02

3 layers. One coherent intelligence.

A structured pipeline that transforms geopolitical uncertainty into measurable foresight — in minutes.

Input —
Geopolitical Trigger
Trade dispute
Election outcome
Military escalation
Sanction threat
Regime change
Layer 01 —
Data Foundation
Historical Precedent
Macro Indicators
Trade Links
Public Opinion
Diplomatic Posture
Military Assets
Layer 02 —
Deep Evaluation
Historical ContextComplete
Domestic PoliticsRunning
Foreign PolicyQueued
Layer 03 —
Probabilistic Forecasting
Reciprocal tariffs
73%
WTO de-escalation
19%
Strategic compliance
6%
Full decoupling
2%
Output —
Actionable Insight
Quantified Risks
Impact Analysis
Mitigation Strategies
Simulation— 03

The U.S. escalates its trade war with India, threatening 50% cumulative tariffs.

Polymarket and frontier LLMs materially overprice the odds of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough. Delphic immediately assigns an 80% probability to tariff enforcement.

Will 50% U.S. tariffs on India be in effect by August 27?
+39% Edge
Market Blindspot
Prediction markets & LLMs put the probability of 50% tariffs at only 20% to 40%, over-relying on historical precedent.
~40% Edge
Delphic forecast 80% risk of tariff imposition on Day 1, decoding strategic incentives the markets missed.
2.5 Week Advantage
Markets took 2.5 weeks to catch up with Delphic's initial forecast. Delphic's edge ranged from 40% to 60%.
Who It's For— 04

For Those Who Can't Afford to Guess.

Built for investors, operators, and policymakers with financial and strategic exposure to geopolitical shifts.

Investment & Insurance

Price geopolitical risk across portfolios before markets move. Use simulated probabilities to hedge exposures effectively.

Corporate Strategy & Risk

Anticipate supply chain and operational disruptions before they surface. Mitigate weeks ahead of traditional analysis.

Security & Policy

Test strategies and policies against likely adversary responses. Receive structured insights built for senior decision-making.

Are you prepared for the next geopolitical crisis?

Stop guessing.
Start simulating.

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